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2009 Academy Award Nomination Predictions: Dark Knight Rises?
01/20/2009 Just two days after an historic and, dare I say it, exciting inauguration on Tuesday (which is, appropriately enough, the day after Martin Luther King’s birthday), award watchers will have to get up early on Thursday morning to see if Kate Winslet becomes a double nominee, or if The Dark Knight breaks the mold as the first ever action hero movie based on a comic book to be nominated for Best Picture. Even if the film fails to score a nod for the top prize, Heath Ledger’s name is expected to be announced as a Supporting Actor nominee on the exact same date he died one year ago. After scoring nominations from the Broadcast Film Critics Association, the Producers Guild of America and, most importantly, the Directors Guild of America, conventional wisdom seems to suggest that the chances for Christopher Nolan’s crime saga are very good. Nevertheless, Oscar voters like to throw in a few surprises every once in a while (i.e. Laura Linney getting nominated instead of Angelina Jolie last year, DiCaprio getting in for Blood Diamond instead of The Departed a year prior to that, etc.), so a few big snubs and even bigger inclusions are sure to surface. After correctly guessing 7 of the 14 film categories for the Globes, I’ll attempt to wipe a little egg off my face and do better here. Now, some of these predictions will be complete blind guesses (documentary feature, documentary short subject), while others are just hard to ever figure out because of voters' slightly schizophrenic tendencies (original song, music score, foreign language film, sound editing). Nevertheless, I’ll do my best in predicting what I think will unfold. Just to note, Israel’s Waltz with Bashir is in prime position to do what last year’s Persepolis should have been eligible to do, which is earn nominations in both the foreign film and animated feature categories, so it will be interesting to see how that plays out. Also, I do think High School Musical 3, for better or worse (mostly the latter), will get at least one nomination. After all, its entire soundtrack is eligible for an original song nomination, and Academy voters seem eager in adhering to the modern audience with this category. And the nominees are. . . BEST PICTURE “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Dark Knight” “Frost/Nixon” “Milk” “Slumdog Millionaire” DIRECTION “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (David Fincher) “The Dark Knight” (Christopher Nolan) “Frost/Nixon” (Ron Howard) “Milk” (Gus Van Sant) “Slumdog Millionaire” (Danny Boyle) ACTOR Leonardo DiCaprio, “Revolutionary Road” Clint Eastwood, “Gran Torino” Frank Langella, “Frost/Nixon” Sean Penn, “Milk” Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler” ACTRESS Anne Hathaway, “Rachel Getting Married” Angelina Jolie, “Changeling” Meryl Streep, “Doubt” Kristin Scott Thomas, “I’ve Loved You So Long” Kate Winslet, “Revolutionary Road” SUPPORTING ACTOR Josh Brolin, “Milk” Robert Downey, Jr., “Tropic Thunder” Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Doubt” Heath Ledger, “The Dark Knight” Dev Patel, “Slumdog Millionaire” SUPPORTING ACTRESS Amy Adams, “Doubt” Penelope Cruz, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” Viola Davis, “Doubt” Marisa Tomei, “The Wrestler” Kate Winslet, “The Reader” ADAPTED SCREENPLAY “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Eric Roth) “Frost/Nixon” (Peter Morgan) “The Reader” (David Hare) “Revolutionary Road” (Justin Haythe) “Slumdog Millionaire” (Simon Beaufoy) ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY “Happy-Go-Lucky” (Mike Leigh) “Milk” (Dustin Lance Black) “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (Woody Allen) “Wall-E” (Andrew Stanton) “The Wrestler” (Robert D. Siegel) FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM “The Baader Meinhof Complex” (GERMANY) “Departures” (JAPAN) “The Necessities of Life” (CANADA) “Revanche” (AUSTRIA) “Waltz with Bashir” (ISRAEL) ANIMATED FEATURE FILM “Kung Fu Panda” “Wall-E” “Waltz with Bashir” DOCUMENTARY FEATURE “Fuel” “I.O.U.S.A.” “Made in America” “Man on Wire” “Trouble the Water” DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT “The Conscience of Nhem En” “Tongzhi in Love” “Viva La Causa” “The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306” ART DIRECTION – SET DECORATION “Changeling” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Duchess” “Revolutionary Road” “The Spiderwick Chronicles” CINEMATOGRAPHY “Changeling” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Dark Knight” “Revolutionary Road” “Slumdog Millionaire” COSTUME DESIGN “Australia” “Changeling” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Duchess” “Revolutionary Road” FILM EDITING “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Dark Knight” “Frost/Nixon” “In Bruges” “Slumdog Millionaire” MAKEUP “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “Synecdoche, New York” “Tropic Thunder” MUSIC SCORE “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Alexandre Desplat) “Defiance” (James Newton Howard) “The Duchess” (Rachel Portman) “Slumdog Millionaire” (A.R. Rahman) “Wall-E” (Thomas Newman) ORIGINAL SONG Can I Have This Dance, “High School Musical 3: Senior Year” Down to Earth, “Wall-E” I Thought I Lost You, “Bolt” Jai Ho, “Slumdog Millionaire” The Wrestler, “The Wrestler” SOUND EFFECTS EDITING “The Dark Knight” “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull” “Iron Man” “Quantum of Solace” “Wall-E” SOUND MIXING “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Dark Knight” “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull” “Iron Man” “Wall-E” VISUAL EFFECTS “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” “The Dark Knight” “Iron Man” The announcement of the nominees for the 81st Annual Academy Awards will be January 22, 2009 at 8:30am. The actual ceremony will be Sunday, February 22. Comments [post a comment]
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