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Golden Globe Predictions 2009
01/11/2009 It’s the most wonderful time of the year. No, it’s not Christmas anymore. No, it’s not the wishful thinking of a flawless new year. No, it’s not the Presidential inauguration (well, it’s not just that). It’s awards season for the movies. The week of January 5 through January 11 should prove to be the most exciting, next to the Oscar nominations of course. You’ve got the anticipated nomination announcements for the American Society of Cinematographers (ASC), the Writers Guild of America (WGA), the Directors Guild of America (DGA), the Art Directors Guild, and, lastly, the announced winners for the 2008 Golden Globe Awards. (Fair warning: if none of that excites you, read no further. It only goes downhill from here.) I don’t know about you, but it’s hard to find online sources for predicting the Globes and the Oscars who are: A) reliable, and B) committed enough to go through all the categories. I will try to here, but I’m only sticking with the movies. However, I must give a quick shout-out to Kevin Connolly for finally getting some recognition for Entourage, which just had its best season in its four year run (and I’m not just saying that because I was there in Cannes when they shot their finale). Now, on with the show: ***BEST PICTURE (Drama)*** The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Frost/Nixon The Reader Revolutionary Road Slumdog Millioniare I’ve only seen two of these (Button and Slumdog), so I don’t have the full effect. Like many others, I can only follow the buzz, which is the one thing Revolutionary Road does NOT have going for it, so it’s out. Frost/Nixon and The Reader are the bridesmaid films: they’ll never get the bouquet. So it’s actually between the two movies I’ve seen. The Globes like pretty people and pretty movies, so I would go with Benjamin Button. ***BEST PICTURE (Comedy or Musical)*** Burn After Reading Happy-Go-Lucky In Bruges Mamma Mia! Vicky Cristina Barcelona No idea! I’ve only seen the Coen brothers’ latest, and I hated the crap out of it. None of these is going to get nominated for Best Picture for the Oscars, so in the long run, it really doesn’t matter who wins. But if I had to wager an educated guess, I’d go with Happy-Go-Lucky. ***ACTOR (Drama)*** Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon Sean Penn, Milk Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler Pretty nice list, I’d say. I wouldn’t have minded seeing Richard Jenkins in there, but I’ll make due with this. Best Actor is becoming a three-man race between Langella, Penn and Rourke, with the latter two the most likely to end up winning inside the Kodak theatre. Just because Penn’s already won, and because Mickey has had such a great comeback story, I think he’ll win. Plus, it’s the Hollywood Foreign Press, and Mickey’s well-liked in France (but then again, Penn was just the jury president for Cannes). ***ACTOR (Comedy or Musical)*** Javier Bardem, Vicky Cristina Barcelona Colin Farrell, In Bruges James Franco, Pineapple Express Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges Dustin Hoffman, Last Chance Harvey Like Best Picture (Comedy or Musical), none of these five will be nominated for an Oscar. I haven’t seen a preview or his performance, but my gut says Dustin Hoffman, so let’s say him. ***ACTRESS (Drama)*** Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married Angelina Jolie, Changeling Meryl Streep, Doubt Kristin Scott Thomas, I’ve Loved You So Long Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road Like Actor (Drama), this is another good list, though I might have swapped Jolie for Melissa Leo in Frozen River. Can anyone compete with Streep? I think not. It should be hers, easily. ***ACTRESS (Comedy or Musical)*** Rebecca Hall, Vicky Cristina Barcelona Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky Frances McDormand, Burn After Reading Meryl Streep, Mamma Mia! Emma Thompson, Last Chance Harvey I don’t think the Globes will give two to Streep, even if they love her. I’d look for Sally Hawkins to win here. ***SUPPORTING ACTOR*** Tom Cruise, Tropic Thunder Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder Ralph Fiennes, The Duchess Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight Can I just say that while I was entertained by Cruise, I was more weirded out by him than anything? Man, that haunted me. Anyway, in a rare occurrence, Best Picture (Drama) is not the award everyone will be waiting to see. This category is, and it should go to Ledger, not out of courtesy, but because he really deserves the win. And by the way, if you haven’t already, get a blu-ray player and The Dark Knight. It’s the one reason to get a blu-ray, if you ever needed one. ***SUPPORTING ACTRESS*** Amy Adams, Doubt Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona Viola Davis, Doubt Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler Kate Winslet, The Reader This is an interesting category, and it could really go to anyone, except probably Tomei. Adams and Davis were both great in Doubt, and if either won, I’d be happy. I’d also like to see Kate go home with something, and I think she will for playing a Nazi (which if you seen Extras, you can appreciate the irony here). ***DIRECTOR*** Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire Stephen Daldry, The Reader David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road The Globes like to mix and match Picture (Drama) and Director. Still, I think Button will take both, so I’d look for David Fincher to win here. ***SCREENPLAY*** The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Doubt Frost/Nixon The Reader Slumdog Millionaire It’s between Nixon and Slumdog. Morgan won a few years ago for The Queen, but Slumdog seems too big to completely ignore, so I think it will win. ***FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM*** The Baader Meinhof Complex, GERMANY Everlasting Moment, SWEDEN Gomorrah, ITALY I’ve Loved You So Long, FRANCE Waltz with Bashir, ISRAEL Gomorrah. It’s the most buzzed about, and the most buzzed about foreign film usually wins. ***ANIMATED FEATURE FILM*** Bolt Kung Fu Panda Wall-E Why even have two other competitors? Wall-E will win. ***MUSIC SCORE*** Changeling The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Defiance Frost/Nixon Slumdog Millionaire Sometimes the Globes give it to a composition piece that seems kind of random, like with Moulin Rouge! in 2002, and Babel in 2007, which the Academy unfortunately followed suit in. With that, Slumdog could win, but Alexandre Desplat’s vibrant score for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button should win, and I think it will. ***ORIGINAL SONG*** “Down to Earth,” Wall-E “Gran Torino,” Gran Torino “I Thought I Lost You,” Bolt “Once in a Lifetime,” Cadillac Records “The Wrestler,” The Wrestler As a side note, let me just say that the prospect of the phrase Academy Award nominee Miley Cyrus does not appeal to me. At all. Anyway, this will go to Bruce’s song for The Wrestler. Why? Because he’s The Boss. Oh, and the song is very good, too. The rundown: PICTURE (Drama): “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” PICTURE (Comedy or Musical): “Happy-Go-Lucky” ACTOR (Drama): Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler” ACTOR (Comedy or Musical): Dustin Hoffman, “Last Chance Harvey” ACTRESS (Drama): Meryl Streep, “Doubt” ACTRESS (Comedy or Musical): Sally Hawkins, “Happy-Go-Lucky” SUPPORTING ACTOR: Heath Ledger, “The Dark Knight” SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Kate Winslet, “The Reader” DIRECTOR: David Fincher, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” SCREENPLAY: “Slumdog Millionaire” FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: “Gomorrah” ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: “Wall-E” MUSIC SCORE: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” ORIGINAL SONG: “The Wrestler” (The Wrestler) Comments [post a comment]Comments are closed |
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