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Barack Obama Will Win The Mississippi Democratic Primary
03/11/2008 Would the Real Barack Obama Please Stand Up? And would the critics, the hecklers, the doubters, and not least, the haters, please return to your seats in the back... And sit down. Professor Obama is about to, if he hasn't already, win the Mississippi primary. And by win I mean lay the lumber. Obama has picked up around 70, 80, even close to 90% of the African-American vote in these primaries. Percentage of registered democrats in Mississippi who are African-American? 70%. Plus, rural males, the educated and the young (sometimes both) who reside in the college towns around Mississippi State and Ole Miss, and those coastal residents who, like in Lousiana (which Obama won), were hit hard by Hurricane Katrina and think that the federal government didn't seem to care too much about them once Brett Favre and the cameras left (okay, Brett didn't actually leave, it was his job that took him to Wisconsin). Rural males would rather hunt bear with quail shot than vote for Hillary Clinton. Pat Buchanan said it best, and in a rare moment of honesty everyone in studio listened to an obviously sexist claim, took a breath, and to a person had the temerity to admit, yup, he was right. Pat said that for a lot of men, when Hillary spoke, the guys heard that voice, that voice that every male hears from a woman and drives them up a wall. Usually, though, it involves garbage bags or cleaning the garage, not asking the man for his vote to put her in the White House. Aside from rural males, the educated and young have fallen so hard for Obama I keep checking the sky for a gigantic Valentine to come hurtling across and land in his front yard down the street. Hell, for all I know, it already has. And don't think for a second that coastal residents are going to go for Hillary on this one - put yourself in their shoes. If you were a single issue voter (Katrina assistance) who would you be more comfortable with in the White House? More specifically, who would be most likely to care and remember you on day 1? Which leaves her with white women. White Southern women. A subset of women not exactly noted for their public/political displays of feminism. So she's got that going for her. Which is nice. The real Obama is going to stand up today. He'll have erased the delegates she won on March 4th and then some. The lead in the national polls will be padded. If she wants to turn this into an audition for superdelegates, he'll pick up some, if not all, of Mississippi's delegation and he'll be able to make the argument that if big states matter, she can have Ohio, because he's just about won the entirety of the South. He puts states like Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and of course, Mississippi all in play. Think Hillary could win Georgia? Me, neither. Think Obama's got a puncher's chance in Ohio? Me, too. Today is not inconsequential, despite her best efforts. She'll flee the state like she always does when she loses, refuse to graciously concede or follow the usual rules of protocol regarding who gets to speak when, and use her TV time to stump, bore an audience, and maybe toss in a few mean things about the man she's claimed would be a serious candidate for VP if she won. Obama will be about something different. This will be a beatdown. It's a beatdown they know is coming so they can get everything ready to capitalize on it - it's not like they have to work on their concession speech just in case. Obama can just lock in on whatever he wants. I don't know what that is, but I know what I want. There's going to be around another six weeks before this particular groundhog sees its shadow and the long political Winter is over. This is the last time he can give a victory rally. Say what you will about the man, but when he's got the mic, he's inspirational. These last few weeks he's seen trouble for the first time since Super Tuesday. He's been bloodied - not badly, but not inconsequentially, either - if you believe the talking heads. It's time for him to rise up, or stand up, if you prefer, and do what even Hillary admits he's phenomenal at - inspire. Let's see it, Obama. Remind us why we care about this interminable war of attrition. Remind us why we care so much that Hillary is a fighter and you're a talker. Remind us why your call to empowerment invokes the memory of JFK and we like it. Remind us why some of us got sucked into this thing in the first place, despite our best efforts to resist it. I think I speak for all of us when I say that regardless of which horse you're backing we all want one thing. We want the real Barack Obama to please stand up. Comments [post a comment]
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Wednesday, August 20, 2008
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